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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Monaco
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Montpellier
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

80% Possession 20%
21 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Monaco 8. · Montpellier 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 5 0 2 +13 15
2 Rennes 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Lille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Lens 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Montpellier 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Lyon 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Monaco 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 St Etienne 6 3 1 2 +1 10
10 Nice 6 3 1 2 -1 10
11 Bordeaux 7 2 3 2 +2 9
12 Brest 6 3 0 3 -2 9
13 Angers 6 3 0 3 -7 9
14 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Metz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Lorient 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Strasbourg 7 1 0 6 -10 3
19 Reims 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Montpellier
19′
🟥 Teji Savanier
Half-time 0–0
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ K. Volland
46′
46′
🔁 S. Mavididi
↦ A. Delort
51′
S. Mavididi 0–1
Caio Henrique 🔁
↦ Florentino Luís
59′
Fàbregas 🔁
↦ D. Sidibé
59′
W. Geubbels 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
59′
61′
🔁 D. Le Tallec
↦ F. Mollet
1–1 W. Ben Yedder
70′
P. Pellegri 🔁
↦ S. Diop
71′
Pietro Pellegri 🟨
73′
73′
🔁 J. Ferri
↦ G. Laborde
73′
🔁 K. Dolly
↦ J. Chotard
Willem Geubbels 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Arnaud Souquet
91′
🔁 S. Sambia
↦ A. Oyongo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-3-3
40 B. Lecomte G
29 D. Sidibé D
26 R. Aguilar D
32 B. Badiashile D
34 C. Matsima D
35 Florentino Luís M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
31 K. Volland F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins F
37 S. Diop M
Bench (9)
10 S. Jovetić
12 Caio Henrique
4 Fàbregas
13 W. Geubbels
19 P. Pellegri
1 R. Majecki
3 G. Maripán
22 Y. Fofana
38 E. Millot

Coach: N. Kovač

Montpellier

3-4-1-2
1 J. Omlin G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
2 A. Souquet M
8 A. Oyongo M
31 N. Cozza D
25 F. Mollet F
11 T. Savanier M
13 J. Chotard M
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (9)
19 S. Mavididi
14 D. Le Tallec
12 J. Ferri
20 K. Dolly
6 S. Sambia
24 Yun Il-Lok
32 P. Škuletić
27 C. Vidal
16 D. Bertaud

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U ✓
4,64
B
6,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.