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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Lens

S S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Bordeaux

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Bordeaux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

0,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lens 7. · Bordeaux 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Lille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Lens	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Marseille	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Nimes	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Lorient	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Paris SG	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Metz	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brest	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Metz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.