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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Dijon

T T T T T

0–4

Full-time

Paris SG

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

65%

Points per game

0,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

35%

58%

Both score Ø 35%

42%

27%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%

5 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dijon 20. · Paris SG 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	26	17	7	2	+30	58
2	Lyon	26	16	7	3	+30	55
3	Paris SG	26	17	3	6	+40	54
4	Monaco	26	16	4	6	+17	52
5	Metz	27	11	8	8	+7	41
6	Lens	26	11	7	8	+2	40
7	Marseille	25	10	8	7	+4	38
8	Rennes	26	10	8	8	+3	38
9	Montpellier	26	11	5	10	-3	38
10	Angers	26	10	5	11	-10	35
11	Bordeaux	27	9	6	12	-5	33
12	Nice	27	9	5	13	-6	32
13	Brest	26	9	4	13	-8	31
14	Reims	26	7	9	10	-2	30
15	St Etienne	26	7	9	10	-11	30
16	Strasbourg	26	8	5	13	-6	29
17	Nimes	26	7	3	16	-26	24
18	Nantes	26	4	11	11	-15	23
19	Lorient	26	6	5	15	-19	23
20	Dijon	26	2	9	15	-22	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	10	1	3	+26	31
2	Lille	13	8	4	1	+14	28
3	Monaco	13	8	4	1	+13	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Brest	13	7	1	5	+2	22
6	Metz	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Lens	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
9	Montpellier	14	6	1	7	-2	19
10	Marseille	12	5	3	4	+2	18
11	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-3	18
12	Reims	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Angers	12	5	1	6	-4	16
14	Lorient	13	5	1	7	-6	16
15	St Etienne	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Strasbourg	13	3	4	6	-3	13
17	Nantes	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Nice	13	3	2	8	-10	11
19	Nimes	13	3	1	9	-12	10
20	Dijon	13	0	6	7	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Lyon	13	8	4	1	+14	28
3	Monaco	13	8	0	5	+4	24
4	Paris SG	12	7	2	3	+14	23
5	Metz	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	Nice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
7	Lens	13	6	3	4	+1	21
8	Rennes	12	5	5	2	+6	20
9	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Montpellier	12	5	4	3	-1	19
11	Angers	14	5	4	5	-6	19
12	Strasbourg	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	St Etienne	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Reims	14	3	5	6	-1	14
15	Bordeaux	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Nimes	13	4	2	7	-14	14
17	Nantes	13	2	4	7	-8	10
18	Brest	13	2	3	8	-10	9
19	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-12	9
20	Lorient	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.