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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Marseille

T S U S U

3–1

Full-time

St Etienne

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,5

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

19 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 9. · St Etienne 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Nice	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Angers	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Clermont	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Lens	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Rennes	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Lorient	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Reims	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Lille	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Strasbourg	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lyon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Lille	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.