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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Marseille

U S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Rennes

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 48%

75%

20%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 58%

75%

40%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

2,5

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 5. · Rennes 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Lens	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Nice	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Angers	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Clermont	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Lorient	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Nantes	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Reims	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Monaco	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Lille	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Bordeaux	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Brest	6	0	4	2	-4	4
19	St Etienne	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Metz	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
7	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Lens	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Rennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Nice	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Clermont	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Lorient	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Lille	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	St Etienne	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.