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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Brest

T T U U T

1–2

Full-time

Metz

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 79%

100%

57%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

2,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 18. · Metz 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+15	24
2	Nice	7	4	2	1	+12	14
3	Marseille	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Lorient	8	3	4	1	+1	13
5	Angers	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Lens	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Lille	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Nantes	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Strasbourg	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Rennes	8	2	3	3	+1	9
12	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	+0	9
13	Clermont	7	2	3	2	-6	9
14	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Reims	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Bordeaux	8	1	4	3	-6	7
17	Troyes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Brest	7	0	4	3	-6	4
19	Metz	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	St Etienne	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Lyon	5	2	3	0	+4	9
3	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Lille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
11	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
12	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Lens	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Lille	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-8	4
14	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.