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Ligue 1

Referee: F Batta

Troyes

T T U T S

1–1

Full-time

Montpellier

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,4

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Troyes 16. · Montpellier 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Lens	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Nice	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Angers	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Lorient	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Reims	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Monaco	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Lille	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Bordeaux	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Brest	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	St Etienne	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Metz	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
7	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Lens	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Rennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Nice	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Clermont	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Lille	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Lorient	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	St Etienne	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.