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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Bordeaux
S T U T T
2–2
Full-time
Lyon
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
13%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
69%
60%
Both score Ø 77%
81%
73%
Average goals
3,8
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 18. · Lyon 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 13 3 1 +20 42
2 Rennes 17 9 4 4 +18 31
3 Marseille 16 8 5 3 +9 29
4 Nice 17 8 4 5 +10 28
5 Lens 17 7 6 4 +7 27
6 Strasbourg 17 7 5 5 +12 26
7 Monaco 17 7 5 5 +7 26
8 Angers 17 6 7 4 +3 25
9 Montpellier 17 7 4 6 +2 25
10 Brest 17 6 6 5 +2 24
11 Lille 17 6 6 5 -1 24
12 Lyon 15 6 4 5 +0 22
13 Nantes 17 6 4 7 +0 22
14 Reims 17 4 7 6 -2 19
15 Troyes 17 4 4 9 -9 16
16 Lorient 17 3 6 8 -13 15
17 Clermont 17 3 5 9 -13 14
18 Bordeaux 16 2 7 7 -13 13
19 Metz 17 2 6 9 -19 12
20 St Etienne 17 2 6 9 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Lyon
29′
J. Denayer 0–1
X. Shaqiri
0–2 M. Gusto
own goal
36′
41′
Thiago Mendes 0–3
Lucas Paquetá
44′
🔁 D. Da Silva
↦ J. Denayer
Half-time 1–3
1–3 A. Elis
Hwang Ui-Jo
58′
66′
🔁 M. Dembélé
↦ X. Shaqiri
T. Pembélé 🔁
↦ Y. Adli
69′
Fransérgio 🔁
↦ T. Lacoux
69′
J. Dilrosun 🔁
↦ R. Oudin
76′
76′
🔁 M. Caqueret
↦ J. Boateng
76′
🔁 K. Toko Ekambi
↦ Emerson
M. Niang 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
77′
J. Briand 🔁
↦ A. Elis
87′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-4-2
1 B. Costil G
4 Mexer D
2 S. Gregersen D
25 E. Kwateng D
12 Ricardo Mangas D
19 Y. Adli F
8 J. Onana M
27 T. Lacoux M
29 A. Elis M
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
28 R. Oudin M
Bench (9)
22 T. Pembélé
13 Fransérgio
21 J. Dilrosun
23 M. Niang
7 J. Briand
16 G. Poussin
20 I. Sissokho
14 G. Mensah
5 Otávio

Coach: V. Petković

Lyon

3-4-2-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
27 J. Boateng D
3 Emerson M
5 J. Denayer D
4 C. Lukeba D
17 M. Gusto M
29 X. Shaqiri F
23 Thiago Mendes M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 H. Aouar F
10 Lucas Paquetá F
Bench (9)
21 D. Da Silva
9 M. Dembélé
25 M. Caqueret
7 K. Toko Ekambi
12 Henrique
19 H. Keita
18 R. Cherki
20 I. Slimani
30 J. Pollersbeck

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,56
U ✓
4,25
B
1,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.