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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Sarpsborg 08
S S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Tromso
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 32%
39%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
57%
46%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Tromso 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 28 17 8 3 +31 59
2 Molde 28 17 5 6 +29 56
3 Viking 28 15 6 7 +9 51
4 Lillestrom 28 13 6 9 +7 45
5 Rosenborg 28 12 8 8 +14 44
6 Kristiansund 28 13 4 11 -5 43
7 Valerenga 28 10 12 6 +8 42
8 Sarpsborg 08 28 11 6 11 -3 39
9 Haugesund 28 9 7 12 +2 34
10 Stromsgodset 28 9 7 12 +0 34
11 Sandefjord 28 9 6 13 -13 33
12 Tromso 28 7 11 10 -10 32
13 Odd 28 7 9 12 -14 30
14 Stabaek 28 6 7 15 -23 25
15 Mjondalen 28 4 10 14 -14 22
16 Brann 28 4 10 14 -18 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso
33′
A. Mikkelsen 0–1
43′
🟨 Eric Kitolano
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Berntsen
↦ A. Mikkelsen
Mikkel Maigaard 🟨
62′
R. Muhammed 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
62′
63′
🔁 L. Nilsen
↦ A. Arnarson
Rashad Muhammed 🟨
70′
G. Molins 🔁
↦ M. Maigaard
71′
76′
🔁 R. Espejord
↦ E. Moses
90′
🟨 Anders Jenssen
90′
🔁 J. Robertsen
↦ C. Psyché
Anders Kristiansen 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-2-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
16 J. Thomassen M
24 M. Dyrestam D
5 M. Ødegård D
4 B. Utvik D
32 E. Wichne M
7 O. Halvorsen F
77 D. Čanađija M
25 M. Maigaard F
11 J. Lindseth M
29 I. Koné F
Bench (8)
10 R. Muhammed
13 G. Molins
1 S. Nilsen
28 B. Karamoko
17 J. Soltvedt
18 S. Jarl
14 A. Camara
8 M. Ofkir

Coach: L. Bohinen

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
28 C. Psyché D
2 A. Arnarson M
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
20 C. Øyvann D
11 R. Jenssen M
21 E. Kitolano M
22 S. Opsahl M
14 A. Mikkelsen F
18 E. Moses F
Bench (6)
17 D. Berntsen
25 L. Nilsen
9 R. Espejord
3 J. Robertsen
12 S. Thomas
6 I. Amundsen

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.