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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

AZ Alkmaar

T S T U S

3–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,5

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 12/14 matches

Win Ø 28%

42%

14%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

67%

36%

Both score Ø 51%

58%

43%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 0

4 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 13. · Sparta Rotterdam 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+46	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+16	34
3	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+19	32
4	Utrecht	14	8	2	4	+11	26
5	Cambuur	15	8	0	7	-8	24
6	Twente	14	6	4	4	+2	22
7	Vitesse	13	7	1	5	-3	22
8	Heerenveen	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	2	6	-5	20
10	Nijmegen	15	5	4	6	-4	19
11	Groningen	15	4	6	5	-4	18
12	Willem II	15	5	3	7	-12	18
13	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	1	6	+3	16
14	Waalwijk	15	3	6	6	-7	15
15	Heracles	15	4	2	9	-6	14
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	4	8	-10	10
17	For Sittard	14	2	3	9	-18	9
18	Zwolle	15	1	3	11	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+31	19
3	Utrecht	7	6	1	0	+16	19
4	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	+12	19
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Heracles	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Go Ahead Eagles	7	4	0	3	+3	12
8	Twente	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Cambuur	8	4	0	4	-2	12
10	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Waalwijk	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-5	10
13	Groningen	7	1	5	1	+1	8
14	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	8	6	0	2	+3	18
2	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+15	17
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-6	12
6	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Nijmegen	8	3	2	3	-4	11
8	Twente	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Groningen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
10	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-7	8
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Utrecht	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Waalwijk	7	0	5	2	-2	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	AZ Alkmaar	6	1	0	5	-5	3
16	For Sittard	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-7	1
18	Zwolle	8	0	1	7	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.