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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Angers
U S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Monaco
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
9%
55%
Points per game
0,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
67%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,97 xG 2,08
61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 20. · Monaco 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 33 24 3 6 +42 +2.3 75
2 Lens 34 21 9 4 +31 +7.1 72
3 Marseille 34 21 7 6 +28 +9.6 70
4 Monaco 33 18 7 8 +16 +3.4 61
5 Lille 34 17 8 9 +19 +12.9 59
6 Rennes 34 17 5 12 +18 +2.4 56
7 Lyon 33 15 8 10 +15 +0.7 53
8 Nice 34 13 12 9 +10 +6.4 51
9 Reims 34 12 14 8 +6 +9.9 50
10 Clermont 33 14 7 12 -7 -0.8 49
11 Lorient 33 13 9 11 +1 -3.9 48
12 Montpellier 33 13 4 16 +0 -0.5 43
13 Toulouse 33 12 5 16 -7 +0.3 41
14 Brest 33 8 11 14 -11 -9.1 35
15 Auxerre 33 8 9 16 -24 -2.5 33
16 Strasbourg 33 7 11 15 -11 +0.9 32
17 Nantes 33 6 14 13 -13 -4.8 32
18 Troyes 33 4 10 19 -29 -18.1 22
19 Ajaccio 33 6 4 23 -39 -4.8 22
20 Angers 33 3 5 25 -45 -11.3 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Monaco
45′
⚽ A. Golovin 0–1
Vanderson
Half-time 0–1
A. Sima 🔁
↦ J. Bahoya
46′
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
46′
55′
🟨 Axel Disasi
60′
⚽ M. Boadu 0–2
Y. Fofana
63′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ E. Matazo
1–2 A. Sima ⚽
H. Abdelli
64′
S. Doumbia 🔁
↦ S. Thioub
70′
H. Šabanović 🔁
↦ J. Kalumba
70′
77′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
78′
🔁 E. Ben Seghir
↦ T. Minamino
78′
🔁 E. Diop
↦ Vanderson
Yan Valery 🟨
85′
Z. Ould Khaled 🔁
↦ H. Abdelli
88′
88′
🔁 I. Jakobs
↦ A. Golovin
88′
🔁 K. Volland
↦ K. Diatta
Ibrahima Niane 🟨
89′
Nabil Bentaleb 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Angers

5-3-2
1 P. Bernardoni G
92 S. Thioub D
94 Y. Valery D
22 C. Hountondji D
25 A. Bamba D
17 J. Kalumba D
6 N. Bentaleb M
2 B. Mendy M
10 H. Abdelli M
7 I. Niane F
24 J. Bahoya F
Bench (9)
19 A. Sima
23 A. Hunou
3 S. Doumbia
4 H. Šabanović
12 Z. Ould Khaled
5 M. Blažič
26 W. Taibi
30 Y. Fofana
70 Y. Gaya

Coach: A. Dujeux

Monaco

3-4-3
16 A. Nübel G
6 A. Disasi D
34 C. Matsima D
12 Caio Henrique D
2 Vanderson M
15 E. Matazo M
19 Y. Fofana M
27 K. Diatta M
18 T. Minamino F
9 M. Boadu F
17 A. Golovin F
Bench (9)
4 M. Camara
44 E. Ben Seghir
42 E. Diop
14 I. Jakobs
31 K. Volland
30 T. Didillon
26 R. Aguilar
21 M. Akliouche
99 Y. Okou

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,18
U
4,82
B ✓
1,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,48
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.