← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Troyes
T T T U T
1–3
Full-time
Paris SG
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Troyes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 43%
12%
73%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
70%
55%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,73 xG 4,18
40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 31
3 Shots on target 12
3 Blocked shots 8
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 19. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 33 24 3 6 +42 +2.3 75
2 Lens 34 21 9 4 +31 +7.1 72
3 Marseille 34 21 7 6 +28 +9.6 70
4 Monaco 34 19 7 8 +17 +4.5 64
5 Lille 34 17 8 9 +19 +12.9 59
6 Rennes 34 17 5 12 +18 +2.4 56
7 Lyon 34 16 8 10 +16 +1.8 56
8 Nice 34 13 12 9 +10 +6.4 51
9 Lorient 34 14 9 11 +2 -4.5 51
10 Reims 34 12 14 8 +6 +9.9 50
11 Clermont 34 14 8 12 -7 -0.4 50
12 Montpellier 34 13 4 17 -1 -1.6 43
13 Toulouse 34 12 6 16 -7 +2.0 42
14 Strasbourg 34 8 11 15 -9 +2.2 35
15 Brest 34 8 11 15 -12 -8.5 35
16 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -24 -2.9 34
17 Nantes 34 6 14 14 -15 -6.1 32
18 Ajaccio 34 6 5 23 -39 -6.5 23
19 Troyes 33 4 10 19 -29 -18.1 22
20 Angers 34 3 5 26 -46 -12.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Paris SG
8′
K. Mbappé 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Mama Baldé 🟨
47′
59′
Vitinha 0–2
R. Kouamé 🔁
↦ L. Agoumé
67′
T. Baldé 🔁
↦ A. Bruus
68′
Rony Lopes 🔁
↦ I. Ugbo
80′
80′
🔁 Carlos Soler
↦ H. Ekitike
80′
🔁 Renato Sanches
↦ M. Verratti
P. Yade 🔁
↦ Y. Larouci
81′
1–2 X. Chavalerin
P. Yade
83′
86′
Fabián Ruiz 1–3
93′
🔁 Ismaël Gharbi
↦ Vitinha
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Troyes

3-4-2-1
30 G. Gallon G
22 T. Zoukrou D
23 A. Rami D
4 E. Palmer-Brown D
19 A. Bruus M
8 L. Agoumé M
24 X. Chavalerin M
39 Y. Larouci M
29 W. Odobert F
7 Mama Baldé F
9 I. Ugbo F
Bench (9)
6 R. Kouamé
18 T. Baldé
11 Rony Lopes
26 P. Yade
2 J. Porozo
28 D. Mazou-Sacko
1 M. Lis
15 A. Palaversa
17 Y. Salmier

Coach: P. Kisnorbo

Paris SG

3-5-2
99 G. Donnarumma G
5 Marquinhos D
4 Sergio Ramos D
15 Danilo Pereira D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
6 M. Verratti M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 Juan Bernat M
44 H. Ekitike F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (8)
28 Carlos Soler
18 Renato Sanches
35 Ismaël Gharbi
34 Serif Nhaga
31 E. Bitshiabu
90 A. Letellier
16 Sergio Rico
37 I. Housni

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,37
U
5,82
B ✓
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.