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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şeker

Ümraniyespor

U T T T T

4–1

Full-time

Sivasspor

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 26%

19%

32%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

58%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 15

6 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ümraniyespor 17. · Sivasspor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	22	4	4	+42	70
2	Besiktas	32	20	8	4	+33	68
3	Fenerbahce	30	21	4	5	+38	67
4	Ad. Demirspor	31	17	9	5	+31	60
5	Buyuksehyr	30	15	6	9	+12	51
6	Kayserispor	31	15	3	13	+1	48
7	Konyaspor	31	11	12	8	+6	45
8	Trabzonspor	30	13	6	11	+3	45
9	Karagumruk	31	11	11	9	+11	44
10	Alanyaspor	32	10	8	14	-11	38
11	Sivasspor	31	10	7	14	-3	37
12	Antalyaspor	31	10	6	15	-8	36
13	Ankaragücü	30	10	5	15	-6	35
14	Kasimpasa	31	9	7	15	-14	34
15	İstanbulspor	30	9	5	16	-21	32
16	Giresunspor	30	6	9	15	-25	27
17	Ümraniyespor	31	6	8	17	-14	26
18	Gaziantep	32	6	7	19	-29	25
19	Hatayspor	30	6	5	19	-46	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	16	12	4	0	+31	40
2	Besiktas	16	12	3	1	+23	39
3	Galatasaray	15	12	2	1	+20	38
4	Fenerbahce	15	10	2	3	+19	32
5	Trabzonspor	15	9	4	2	+16	31
6	Buyuksehyr	15	10	1	4	+9	31
7	Kayserispor	16	9	2	5	+11	29
8	Alanyaspor	16	8	4	4	+7	28
9	Antalyaspor	16	7	2	7	+2	23
10	Ankaragücü	15	6	3	6	+0	21
11	Konyaspor	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Kasimpasa	16	6	3	7	-2	21
13	Karagumruk	15	5	5	5	+5	20
14	Sivasspor	15	4	6	5	+2	18
15	İstanbulspor	15	5	3	7	-7	18
16	Hatayspor	14	4	4	6	-13	16
17	Giresunspor	14	4	3	7	-7	15
18	Ümraniyespor	16	3	4	9	-5	13
19	Gaziantep	16	3	4	9	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	11	2	2	+19	35
2	Galatasaray	15	10	2	3	+22	32
3	Besiktas	16	8	5	3	+10	29
4	Karagumruk	16	6	6	4	+6	24
5	Konyaspor	15	6	6	3	+6	24
6	Buyuksehyr	15	5	5	5	+3	20
7	Ad. Demirspor	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	Sivasspor	16	6	1	9	-5	19
9	Kayserispor	15	6	1	8	-10	19
10	Ankaragücü	15	4	2	9	-6	14
11	Trabzonspor	15	4	2	9	-13	14
12	İstanbulspor	15	4	2	9	-14	14
13	Ümraniyespor	15	3	4	8	-9	13
14	Antalyaspor	15	3	4	8	-10	13
15	Kasimpasa	15	3	4	8	-12	13
16	Gaziantep	16	3	3	10	-15	12
17	Giresunspor	16	2	6	8	-18	12
18	Alanyaspor	16	2	4	10	-18	10
19	Hatayspor	16	2	1	13	-33	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.