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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Berg
Kongsvinger
T S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Jerv
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 11. · Jerv 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ranheim 6 4 1 1 +0 13
2 Sogndal 6 3 2 1 +2 11
3 hodd 5 2 3 0 +4 9
4 Fredrikstad 5 2 3 0 +2 9
5 Kristiansund 5 3 0 2 +0 9
6 Raufoss 6 2 2 2 +4 8
7 Start 5 1 3 1 +2 6
8 Bryne 5 1 3 1 +0 6
9 Moss 5 1 3 1 +0 6
10 Jerv 5 2 0 3 -1 6
11 Kongsvinger 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Sandnes ULF 5 1 2 2 +1 5
13 Skeid 5 1 2 2 +0 5
14 Mjondalen 6 1 2 3 -4 5
15 Asane 6 0 4 2 -2 4
16 KFUM Oslo 6 0 4 2 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Jerv
26′
🔁 T. Ness
↦ T. Wichne
32′
🟨 M. Wichmann
H. Holter 🟨
34′
J. Holtan 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 M. Ugland
↦ J. Cijntje
1–0 A. Güven
63′
F. Holme 🟨
66′
69′
🟨 T. Ness
V. Moberg 🔁
↦ A. Güven
71′
B. Pedersen 🔁
↦ J. Holtan
71′
S. Marthinussen 🔁
↦ J. Grundt
72′
74′
M. Ugland 1–1
80′
🟨 E. Brenden
2–1 M. Hellan
82′
M. Eriksen 🔁
↦ M. Hellan
84′
86′
🔁 H. Bredeli
↦ I. Mafi
B. Pedersen 🟥
92′
M. Aadnøy 🔁
↦ M. Haakenstad
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 A. Strömberg
10 L. Gerson
12 M. Haakenstad
21 D. Lysgård
5 F. Holmé
16 M. Hellan
6 H. Holter
23 M. Vinjor
20 J. Grundt
9 A. Güven
18 J. Holtan
Bench (8)
8 V. Moberg
14 B. Pedersen
11 S. Marthinussen
15 M. Eriksen
13 M. Aadnøy
19 K. Jahr
31 A. Smedplass
32 N. Jørgensen

Coach: V. Hansen

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
19 I. Mafi
5 E. Sandberg
2 T. Wichne
4 A. Mutsinzi
3 L. Larade
6 M. Wichmann
15 E. Brenden
18 A. Richstad
21 S. Auklend
30 J. Cijntje
Bench (6)
23 T. Ness
8 M. Ugland
22 H. Bredeli
1 A. Olsvoll
27 E. Philibert
88 E. Duesund

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.