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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Le Havre
U U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Reims
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
23%
41%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
45%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,75 xG 3,36
51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Le Havre 13. · Reims 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 22 16 5 1 +35 +20.5 53
2 Brest 23 12 7 4 +16 +8.8 43
3 Monaco 23 12 5 6 +10 +4.2 41
4 Nice 22 11 6 5 +7 +9.8 39
5 Lille 22 10 8 4 +15 +12.6 38
6 Lens 23 10 6 7 +6 +2.1 36
7 Rennes 22 9 7 6 +8 +10.7 34
8 Reims 22 9 4 9 -2 +3.6 31
9 Marseille 22 7 9 6 +5 +14.2 30
10 Lyon 23 8 4 11 -10 -5.5 28
11 Nantes 23 7 4 12 -11 -9.4 25
12 Strasbourg 23 6 7 10 -12 -4.4 25
13 Le Havre 22 5 9 8 -5 -10.5 24
14 Montpellier 22 5 8 9 -3 +1.7 23
15 Toulouse 22 5 8 9 -8 -10.2 23
16 Lorient 23 5 7 11 -13 -11.8 22
17 Metz 23 4 5 14 -18 -17.7 17
18 Clermont 22 3 7 12 -20 -18.8 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Dec -23 Reims – Le Havre 1–0

Match report

Le Havre Reims
24′
🟨 Thomas Foket
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 M. Daramy
↦ K. Nakamura
63′
🔁 A. Richardson
↦ T. Teuma
64′
M. Daramy 0–1
66′
🟨 Thomas Foket
66′
🟥 Thomas Foket
70′
🔁 T. Koudou
↦ R. Khadra
Christopher Operi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
72′
73′
🟨 Thibault De Smet
Loic Négo 🟨
74′
1–1 A. Touré
74′
J. Casimir 🔁
↦ L. Négo
75′
80′
🔁 V. Atangana Edoa
↦ O. Diakité
S. Ngoura 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
85′
92′
ℹ️ Thibault De Smet
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Arouna Sangante 🟨
94′
Mathieu Gorgelin 🟨
95′
96′
M. Daramy 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-4-2
1 M. Gorgelin G
93 A. Sangante D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
7 L. Négo M
94 A. Touré M
8 Y. Kechta M
11 E. Sabbi M
28 A. Ayew F
9 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
23 J. Casimir
13 S. Ngoura
29 S. Grandsir
40 P. Argney
21 A. Joujou
22 Y. Salmier
25 A. Confais
26 S. Ebonog
17 O. El Hajjam

Coach: L. Elsner

Reims

3-4-3
94 Y. Diouf G
32 T. Foket D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
7 J. Ito M
15 M. Munetsi M
10 T. Teuma M
25 T. De Smet M
14 R. Khadra F
22 O. Diakité F
17 K. Nakamura F
Bench (9)
9 M. Daramy
8 A. Richardson
45 T. Koudou
6 V. Atangana Edoa
18 Sergio Akieme
56 K. Prouchet
67 M. Diakhon
26 B. Stambouli
96 A. Olliero

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
U
3,31
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.