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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
2–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Greuther Furth 6. · Nurnberg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 23 13 9 1 +21 48
2 Holstein Kiel 23 13 3 7 +12 42
3 Hamburg 22 11 5 6 +12 38
4 Hannover 23 10 7 6 +12 37
5 Paderborn 23 11 4 8 -2 37
6 Greuther Furth 22 10 5 7 +6 35
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 9 6 7 +14 33
8 Hertha 23 9 6 8 +6 33
9 Karlsruhe 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Elversberg 22 9 5 8 -1 32
11 Magdeburg 23 8 6 9 +5 30
12 Nurnberg 22 8 6 8 -9 30
13 Wehen 23 7 6 10 -4 27
14 Schalke 04 23 8 2 13 -11 26
15 Braunschweig 23 7 3 13 -13 24
16 Kaiserslautern 23 6 4 13 -13 22
17 Hansa Rostock 22 6 4 12 -14 22
18 Osnabruck 23 2 9 12 -25 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Nurnberg
8′
S. Andersson 0–1
12′
🟨 Jens Castrop
1–1 A. Sieb
27′
31′
🟨 Jannes Horn
Gideon Jung 🟨
33′
34′
🟨 Jens Castrop
34′
🟥 Jens Castrop
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Geis
↦ C. Uzun
Simon Asta 🟨
53′
2–1 A. Sieb
B. Hrgota
56′
66′
🔁 K. Okunuki
↦ B. Goller
O. Haddadi 🔁
↦ G. Itter
71′
72′
🔁 L. Schleimer
↦ S. Andersson
76′
🟨 Erik Wekesser
M. Meyerhöfer 🔁
↦ S. Asta
79′
D. Srbeny 🔁
↦ A. Sieb
79′
87′
🔁 Iván Márquez
↦ J. Horn
88′
🔁 J. Hungbo
↦ E. Wekesser
Damian Michalski 🟨
90′
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ T. Lemperle
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
23 G. Jung D
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
2 S. Asta M
22 R. Wagner M
37 J. Green M
27 G. Itter M
10 B. Hrgota F
30 A. Sieb F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
5 O. Haddadi
18 M. Meyerhöfer
7 D. Srbeny
13 O. Kiomourtzoglou
1 N. Körber
16 L. Petkov
34 D. Pfaffenrot
14 J. Consbruch
21 K. Çalhanoğlu

Coach: A. Zorniger

Nurnberg

4-1-4-1
1 C. Klaus G
22 E. Valentini D
44 F. Jeltsch D
38 J. Horn D
27 N. Brown D
6 F. Flick M
14 B. Goller M
17 J. Castrop M
42 C. Uzun M
13 E. Wekesser M
20 S. Andersson F
Bench (9)
5 J. Geis
11 K. Okunuki
36 L. Schleimer
15 Iván Márquez
23 J. Hungbo
3 A. Gürleyen
8 T. Duman
26 C. Mathenia
46 J. Kania

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
4,02
B
4,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.