2. Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Greuther Furth
Nurnberg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Pauli
|
23 | 13 | 9 | 1 | +21 | 48 |
| 2 |
Holstein Kiel
|
23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +12 | 42 |
| 3 |
Hamburg
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +12 | 38 |
| 4 |
Hannover
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |
Paderborn
|
23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | -2 | 37 |
| 6 |
Greuther Furth
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +6 | 35 |
| 7 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 33 |
| 8 |
Hertha
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +6 | 33 |
| 9 |
Karlsruhe
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | +4 | 32 |
| 10 |
Elversberg
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 |
Magdeburg
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 30 |
| 12 |
Nurnberg
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |
Wehen
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 |
Schalke 04
|
23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Braunschweig
|
23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |
Kaiserslautern
|
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -13 | 22 |
| 17 |
Hansa Rostock
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 |
Osnabruck
|
23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -25 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Urbig
G
D. Michalski
D
M. Dietz
D
S. Asta
M
R. Wagner
M
G. Itter
M
B. Hrgota
F
T. Lemperle
F
Coach: A. Zorniger
C. Klaus
G
F. Jeltsch
D
J. Horn
D
N. Brown
D
F. Flick
M
C. Uzun
M
E. Wekesser
M
Coach: C. Fiél
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hannover
Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth
Hertha
St Pauli
Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth
Holstein Kiel
Paderborn
Greuther Furth
R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.