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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Lausanne

T U T U S

1–1

Full-time

Winterthur

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

67%

79%

Both score Ø 80%

71%

88%

Average goals

2,9

3,9

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,96 xG 1,25

50% Possession 50%

20 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 11. · Winterthur 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	24	15	6	3	+29	+2.6	51
2	Servette	24	12	8	4	+13	+16.1	44
3	St. Gallen	25	12	4	9	+7	+12.6	40
4	Zurich	25	10	9	6	+10	+0.1	39
5	Lugano	25	11	4	10	+6	+5.9	37
6	Luzern	25	11	4	10	-2	+1.5	37
7	Winterthur	24	9	6	9	-5	-4.2	33
8	Basel	25	9	4	12	-6	-4.7	31
9	Yverdon	25	8	6	11	-18	-13.9	30
10	Grasshoppers	25	8	4	13	-1	-6.3	28
11	Lausanne	24	6	7	11	-6	+3.7	25
12	Lausanne Ouchy	25	3	6	16	-27	-13.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	10	2	0	+25	+5.1	32
2	St. Gallen	13	10	1	2	+13	+7.9	31
3	Servette	12	7	4	1	+11	+9.1	25
4	Luzern	12	8	1	3	+6	+2.8	25
5	Yverdon	13	7	3	3	+1	-3.6	24
6	Zurich	12	6	5	1	+8	+1.0	23
7	Lugano	13	6	3	4	+4	+4.9	21
8	Winterthur	12	6	3	3	+1	+0.9	21
9	Grasshoppers	13	6	2	5	+7	-1.0	20
10	Lausanne	12	5	3	4	+4	+1.6	18
11	Basel	12	5	2	5	+1	-3.8	17
12	Lausanne Ouchy	12	1	5	6	-15	-4.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	+4	-2.5	19
2	Servette	12	5	4	3	+2	+7.0	19
3	Lugano	12	5	1	6	+2	+0.9	16
4	Zurich	13	4	4	5	+2	-0.9	16
5	Basel	13	4	2	7	-7	-0.8	14
6	Winterthur	12	3	3	6	-6	-5.2	12
7	Luzern	13	3	3	7	-8	-1.3	12
8	St. Gallen	12	2	3	7	-6	+4.7	9
9	Grasshoppers	12	2	2	8	-8	-5.3	8
10	Lausanne	12	1	4	7	-10	+2.1	7
11	Lausanne Ouchy	13	2	1	10	-12	-9.4	7
12	Yverdon	12	1	3	8	-19	-10.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.