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Super League
Referee: A Katsikogiannis
Panetolikos
T T U S U
1–3
Full-time
PAOK
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
16%
64%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
60%
72%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
48%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,9
2,4
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 12. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 25 17 7 1 +34 58
2 Olympiakos 25 17 3 5 +33 54
3 PAOK 25 16 4 5 +38 52
4 Panathinaikos 24 16 3 5 +37 51
5 Aris Thessalonikis 23 11 5 7 +10 38
6 Aris 23 11 5 7 +10 38
7 Lamia 26 10 8 8 -4 38
8 Asteras Tripolis 25 10 3 12 -8 33
9 OFI Crete 26 6 9 11 -16 27
10 Atromitos 26 6 9 11 -17 27
11 Panserraikos 26 5 10 11 -17 25
12 Panetolikos 25 4 7 14 -24 19
13 Giannina 26 3 9 14 -23 18
14 Volos NFC 24 3 8 13 -24 17
15 Kifisia 25 3 8 14 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos PAOK
1–0 I. Chatzitheodoridis
J. Añor
5′
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis 🟨
22′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ S. Tzimas
Juanpi Añor 🟨
57′
62′
ℹ️ Giannis Konstantelias
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
🔁 A. Živković
↦ T. Murg
63′
🔁 M. Ozdoev
↦ Marcos Antônio
Frederico Duarte 🔁
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
68′
S. Díaz 🔁
↦ L. Shengelia
68′
72′
P. Silva 2–0
own goal
73′
🔁 Jonny
↦ Rafa Soares
73′
A. Živković 2–1
M. Ozdoev
C. Mavrias 🔁
↦ G. Liavas
81′
F. Pérez 🔁
↦ A. Tsingaras
81′
81′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ K. Despodov
S. Lomónaco 🔁
↦ João Pedro
82′
90′
G. Konstantelias 2–2
A. Živković
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Panetolikos

5-3-2
13 L. Chaves G
54 G. Liavas D
47 A. Malis D
5 S. Mladen D
49 N. Stajić D
24 P. Silva D
10 J. Añor M
37 A. Tsingaras M
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis M
27 L. Shengelia F
45 João Pedro F
Bench (9)
14 Frederico Duarte
22 S. Díaz
35 C. Mavrias
34 F. Pérez
15 S. Lomónaco
1 S. Kapino
4 J. Tabidze
18 I. Bouzoukis
6 M. Oikonomou

Coach: G. Petrakis

PAOK

4-2-3-1
18 Ž. Živković G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
55 Rafa Soares D
88 Marcos Antônio M
8 S. Meïté M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
7 G. Konstantelias M
95 S. Tzimas F
Bench (9)
33 M. Samatta
14 A. Živković
27 M. Ozdoev
19 Jonny
22 S. Schwab
20 Vieirinha
64 C. Talichmanidis
3 I. Näsberg
31 André Ricardo

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,71
U
4,80
B ✓
1,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Katsikogiannis · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.