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Premiership

Referee: W Collum

Motherwell

U U S U T

1–3

Full-time

Celtic

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 46%

19%

73%

Points per game

1,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

50%

65%

Both score Ø 58%

62%

54%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%

10 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Celtic 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	27	22	1	4	+48	67
2	Celtic	26	19	5	2	+40	62
3	Hearts	27	16	3	8	+8	51
4	Kilmarnock	27	10	10	7	+4	40
5	St Mirren	27	11	5	11	+1	38
6	Dundee	26	8	8	10	-5	32
7	Hibernian	26	7	9	10	-9	30
8	Aberdeen	26	6	9	11	-12	27
9	Motherwell	26	5	11	10	-6	26
10	ST Johnstone	27	5	9	13	-20	24
11	Ross County	26	5	7	14	-22	22
12	Livingston	27	3	7	17	-27	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	14	12	0	2	+26	36
2	Celtic	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Kilmarnock	14	8	4	2	+9	28
4	Hearts	13	7	3	3	+6	24
5	St Mirren	14	7	3	4	+5	24
6	Dundee	12	5	3	4	-1	18
7	ST Johnstone	14	4	5	5	-6	17
8	Motherwell	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Hibernian	14	4	4	6	-4	16
10	Aberdeen	13	3	6	4	-2	15
11	Ross County	12	4	2	6	-4	14
12	Livingston	13	2	5	6	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Rangers	13	10	1	2	+22	31
3	Hearts	14	9	0	5	+2	27
4	Dundee	14	3	5	6	-4	14
5	St Mirren	13	4	2	7	-4	14
6	Hibernian	12	3	5	4	-5	14
7	Kilmarnock	13	2	6	5	-5	12
8	Aberdeen	13	3	3	7	-10	12
9	Motherwell	13	1	7	5	-8	10
10	Ross County	14	1	5	8	-18	8
11	ST Johnstone	13	1	4	8	-14	7
12	Livingston	14	1	2	11	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.