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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Angers
T T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Paris FC
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,97 xG 0,92
32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Apr -24 Paris FC – Angers 3–1 2. Sep -23 Angers – Paris FC 2–0

Match report

Angers Paris FC
1–0 E. Lepaul ⚽
J. Lefort
9′
10′
🟨 Lohann Doucet
Yassin Belkhdim 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
Louis Mouton 🟥
57′
61′
🔁 V. Marchetti
↦ L. Doucet
61′
🔁 A. Gory
↦ J. Krasso
L. Machine 🔁
↦ S. Cherif
62′
J. Allevinah 🔁
↦ L. Raolisoa
62′
71′
🔁 J. Lopez
↦ P. Hamel
J. Ekomie 🔁
↦ F. Hanin
72′
72′
🔁 M. Cafaro
↦ M. Simon
M. Courcoul 🔁
↦ Y. Belkhdim
85′
P. Peter 🔁
↦ E. Lepaul
85′
85′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ T. Kolodziejczak
Carlens Arcus 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Angers

3-4-2-1
16 H. Koffi G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
27 L. Raolisoa M
93 H. Belkebla M
14 Y. Belkhdim M
26 F. Hanin M
6 L. Mouton F
11 S. Cherif F
19 E. Lepaul F
Bench (9)
40 O. Pona
3 J. Ekomie
25 A. Bamba
24 E. Biumla
15 P. Capelle
5 M. Courcoul
34 L. Machine
35 P. Peter
18 J. Allevinah

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux

Paris FC

4-4-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
31 S. Chergui D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
19 N. Sangui D
10 I. Kebbal M
8 L. Doucet M
21 M. Lopez M
27 M. Simon M
11 J. Krasso F
29 P. Hamel F
Bench (9)
1 R. Riou
25 Y. Kore
2 T. Ollila
4 V. Marchetti
13 M. Cafaro
17 A. Camara
20 J. Lopez
12 N. Dicko
7 A. Gory

Coach: Antoine Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
🔒
U
3,12
🔒
B
2,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,16
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.