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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Zwolle
T U T T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Sparta Rotterdam 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Willem II 4 3 0 1 +2 9
2 Vitesse 4 2 2 0 +5 8
3 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +8 7
4 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Sparta Rotterdam 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Utrecht 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Twente 4 1 3 0 +2 6
9 VVV Venlo 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Feyenoord 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Den Haag 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 FC Emmen 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Heracles 4 0 2 2 -6 2
16 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Waalwijk 4 0 1 3 -7 1
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
8′
R. Ache 0–1
B. Smeets
1–1 I. Bel Hassani
9′
23′
🟨 Bart Vriends
44′
🟨 Adil Auassar
Pelle Clement 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Rick Dekker 🟨
51′
52′
🔁 L. Duarte
↦ A. Auassar
S. van Wermeskerken 🔁
↦ J. Westerman
56′
2–1 L. Thy
P. Clement
56′
60′
🔁 J. Piroe
↦ R. Ache
M. Saymak 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
71′
78′
🔁 L. Veldwijk
↦ L. Faye
81′
L. Veldwijk 2–2
B. Smeets
M. Doue 🔁
↦ S. Kersten
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
5 K. Paal D
15 S. Kersten D
11 I. Bel Hassani M
20 T. Bruns M
19 R. Dekker D
22 P. Clement M
6 G. Hamer D
10 L. Thy F
17 D. Johnsen F
34 J. Westerman F
Bench (8)
31 S. van Wermeskerken
26 M. Saymak
36 M. Doue
40 M. Hauptmeijer
39 Q. van den Heerik
30 D. Huiberts
16 M. Zetterer
14 Z. Flemming

Coach: J. Stegeman

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 T. Coremans G
3 B. Vriends D
4 J. Mattheij D
2 D. Abels D
5 L. Faye D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
7 A. Harroui M
8 M. Rayhi M
9 R. Ache F
11 H. Dervişoğlu F
Bench (8)
14 L. Duarte
13 J. Piroe
19 L. Veldwijk
12 K. Karami
20 A. Harush
16 D. Rigo
15 D. Duarte
30 M. Fabrie

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,27
U ✓
3,77
B
2,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.