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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Sparta Rotterdam

T U S S U

1–4

Full-time

Ajax

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,5

5,0

Scored

2,2

3,8

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,7

This season — Eredivisie · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,0

4,7

Scored

2,5

3,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 4. · Ajax 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	5	2	3	0	+4	9
2	Willem II	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Vitesse	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	VVV Venlo	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Feyenoord	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	FC Emmen	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	3	1	2	0	+2	5
2	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Heerenveen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Twente	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.