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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S
5–2
Full-time
Groningen
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Groningen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +5 4
5 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Groningen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Cambuur 3 1 0 2 -2 3
11 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Twente 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Groningen
1–0 C. Gakpo
M. Götze
7′
15′
C. Ngonge 1–1
18′
C. Ngonge 1–2
1–3 M. El Hankouri
own goal
27′
Half-time 1–3
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ N. Madueke
46′
P. Mwene 🔁
↦ P. Max
46′
2–3 André Ramalho
C. Gakpo
52′
3–3 E. Zahavi
C. Gakpo
55′
61′
🔁 A. El Messaoudi
↦ P. Joosten
61′
🔁 B. Meijer
↦ G. Gudmundsson
61′
🔁 J. Larsen
↦ M. de Leeuw
Cody Gakpo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
66′
O. Boscagli 🔁
↦ M. van Ginkel
75′
Bruma 🔁
↦ E. Zahavi
83′
R. Thomas 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
84′
87′
🔁 R. Postema
↦ M. te Wierik
88′
🔁 D. van Kaam
↦ C. Ngonge
4–3 Bruma
M. Götze
97′
Bruma 🟨
98′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
5 André Ramalho D
31 P. Max D
24 A. Obispo D
3 J. Teze D
27 M. Götze M
8 M. van Ginkel M
6 I. Sangaré M
7 E. Zahavi F
11 C. Gakpo M
23 N. Madueke M
Bench (10)
53 Y. Vertessen
29 P. Mwene
28 O. Boscagli
19 Bruma
30 R. Thomas
17 Mauro Júnior
25 R. Doan
15 É. Gutiérrez
4 N. Viergever
38 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Groningen

5-3-2
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
5 M. te Wierik D
4 W. Dammers D
15 G. Gudmundsson D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
6 A. Matusiwa M
7 T. Suslov M
8 M. de Leeuw F
14 P. Joosten F
11 M. El Hankouri D
27 C. Ngonge M
Bench (10)
18 A. El Messaoudi
40 B. Meijer
9 J. Larsen
29 R. Postema
26 D. van Kaam
25 J. de Boer
20 M. Šverko
2 D. Dankerlui
16 J. Hoekstra
3 B. van Hintum

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
5,19
B
8,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.