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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Groningen
S U T T S
0–0
Full-time
Utrecht
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 7. · Utrecht 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Waalwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 1 1 -4 1
13 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Cambuur 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Utrecht
45′
🟨 Quinten Timber
Half-time 0–0
Neraysho Kasanwirjo 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Hidde ter Avest
62′
🔁 A. Douvikas
↦ Adrián Dalmau
62′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Q. Timber
J. Larsen 🔁
↦ M. de Leeuw
69′
P. Joosten 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
69′
Azor Matusiwa 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 S. Gustafson
↦ O. Boussaid
Tomáš Suslov 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Gyrano Kerk
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ C. Ngonge
82′
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
83′
87′
🔁 M. van der Hoorn
↦ H. ter Avest
88′
🟨 Willem Janssen
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
5 M. te Wierik D
4 W. Dammers M
15 G. Gudmundsson D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
7 T. Suslov M
8 M. de Leeuw F
11 M. El Hankouri D
27 C. Ngonge M
Bench (10)
9 J. Larsen
14 P. Joosten
2 D. Dankerlui
10 R. Lundqvist
26 D. van Kaam
40 B. Meijer
3 B. van Hintum
16 J. Hoekstra
25 J. de Boer
20 M. Šverko

Coach: D. Buijs

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 M. Paes G
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
23 B. Ramselaar M
27 Q. Timber M
26 O. Boussaid M
9 Adrián Dalmau F
7 G. Kerk M
Bench (10)
18 A. Douvikas
29 M. Sylla
10 S. Gustafson
33 M. van der Hoorn
16 F. de Keijzer
19 D. van den Berg
8 J. van Overeem
17 B. Benamar
32 E. Oelschlägel
25 S. Mokono

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,57
U ✓
3,64
B
1,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.