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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
1–0
Full-time
Zwolle
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
25%
0%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 15. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +21 13
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +11 12
3 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Willem II 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Utrecht 5 2 2 1 +5 8
6 Nijmegen 5 2 2 1 -2 8
7 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 Vitesse 4 2 0 2 -6 6
9 Cambuur 5 2 0 3 -8 6
10 Waalwijk 5 1 2 2 -1 5
11 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 For Sittard 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Twente 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Zwolle 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Zwolle
29′
🟨 Elikia Mbinga
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Redan
↦ K. Paal
46′
🔁 D. Huiberts
↦ E. Mbinga
48′
ℹ️ Dean Huiberts
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
🟨 Sam Kersten
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ M. Berden
52′
R. Oratmangoen 🔁
↦ O. Heil
52′
G. Botos 🔁
↦ P. Rommens
52′
Bas Kuipers 🟨
66′
I. Lidberg 🔁
↦ Cardona
72′
74′
🔁 G. Kastaneer
↦ S. Tedić
1–0 G. Botos
M. Deijl
77′
82′
🔁 E. Reijnders
↦ T. van den Belt
82′
🔁 R. Koolwijk
↦ R. Strieder
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl D
2 B. Lucassen M
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
19 O. Heil M
7 M. Berden M
29 Cardona F
Bench (10)
21 Iñigo Córdoba
11 R. Oratmangoen
30 G. Botos
9 I. Lidberg
23 A. Noppert
26 J. Bakker
31 J. Schuurman
14 T. Tuzlacik
6 J. Idzes
24 Y. Bourhane

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
5 K. Paal M
4 Y. Nakayama D
15 S. Kersten D
3 S. Voet D
13 R. Strieder M
20 T. van den Belt M
32 E. Mbinga M
9 S. Tedić F
45 C. Landu M
Bench (8)
19 D. Redan
8 D. Huiberts
7 G. Kastaneer
23 E. Reijnders
37 R. Koolwijk
40 M. Hauptmeijer
27 M. Pabai
16 J. Schendelaar

Coach: A. Langeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,33
B
2,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.