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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Feyenoord
S U S S U
0–2
Full-time
Ajax
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 69%
69%
69%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
56%
Both score Ø 32%
50%
13%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
2,4
3,1
Conceded
0,9
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Ajax 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 1 3 +17 37
2 Ajax 16 11 3 2 +45 36
3 Feyenoord 16 11 3 2 +24 36
4 Twente 17 9 4 4 +6 31
5 Utrecht 16 8 4 4 +11 28
6 Cambuur 17 9 0 8 -7 27
7 Vitesse 15 8 2 5 -2 26
8 AZ Alkmaar 15 8 1 6 +9 25
9 Heerenveen 16 7 4 5 +0 25
10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 3 7 -6 21
11 Nijmegen 16 5 4 7 -5 19
12 Groningen 17 4 7 6 -6 19
13 Willem II 17 5 3 9 -17 18
14 Heracles 17 5 2 10 -5 17
15 Waalwijk 16 3 6 7 -8 15
16 For Sittard 17 3 4 10 -22 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 -12 12
18 Zwolle 17 1 3 13 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Ajax
Bryan Linssen 🟨
13′
15′
🟨 Ryan Gravenberch
18′
🔁 N. Tagliafico
↦ Lisandro Martínez
32′
🟨 Sébastien Haller
34′
🟨 Antony
Jens Toornstra 🟨
37′
44′
⚽ M. Senesi 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ L. Sinisterra
46′
Fredrik Aursnes 🟨
51′
60′
🔁 D. Klaassen
↦ S. Berghuis
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
69′
A. Jahanbakhsh 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
73′
73′
🔁 D. Rensch
↦ J. Timber
Reiss Nelson 🟨
80′
81′
⚽ D. Tadić 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bijlow G
5 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
3 L. Geertruida D
2 M. Pedersen D
28 J. Toornstra M
17 F. Aursnes M
26 G. Til M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 B. Linssen F
7 L. Sinisterra M
Bench (11)
14 R. Nelson
33 C. Dessers
9 A. Jahanbakhsh
24 N. Bannis
6 M. Diemers
30 T. Jansen
43 M. Benita
25 R. Hendriks
48 A. Milambo
21 O. Marciano
20 João Carlos Teixeira

Coach: A. Slot

Ajax

4-2-3-1
32 R. Pasveer G
17 D. Blind D
3 P. Schuurs D
21 Lisandro Martínez D
2 J. Timber D
4 E. Álvarez M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić M
23 S. Berghuis M
22 S. Haller F
11 Antony M
Bench (11)
31 N. Tagliafico
6 D. Klaassen
15 D. Rensch
25 K. Taylor
44 Y. Regeer
9 Danilo
7 David Neres
26 V. Jensen
24 A. Onana
30 M. Daramy
16 J. Gorter

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,20
U
4,11
B ✓
1,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,46
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.