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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Vitesse
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
80%
80%
Points per game
2,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 4. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 0 1 +21 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Vitesse 5 4 0 1 +7 12
5 Twente 6 3 2 1 +6 11
6 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +7 10
7 Groningen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Zwolle 6 1 3 2 -1 6
10 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 VVV Venlo 6 1 2 3 -13 5
12 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 4 0 +0 4
13 Waalwijk 5 1 1 3 -5 4
14 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -6 4
15 Den Haag 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 FC Emmen 6 0 3 3 -7 3
17 For Sittard 6 0 2 4 -8 2
18 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
1–0 J. Rasmussen
M. Wittek
8′
Half-time 1–1
50′
O. Boscagli 1–1
P. Max
2–1 L. Openda
M. Wittek
54′
T. Hájek 🔁
↦ D. Huisman
60′
62′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ R. Thomas
Sondre Tronstad 🟨
64′
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ L. Openda
74′
Thomas Buitink 🟨
80′
E. Cornelisse 🔁
↦ M. Wittek
82′
O. Darfalou 🔁
↦ A. Broja
82′
Eli Dasa 🟨
84′
89′
🔁 A. Fein
↦ N. Madueke
90′
ℹ️ Ibrahim Sangaré
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

5-3-2
22 R. Pasveer G
2 E. Dasa D
32 M. Wittek D
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
27 I. Touré M
40 D. Huisman M
7 L. Openda F
11 A. Broja F
Bench (9)
18 T. Hájek
29 T. Buitink
39 E. Cornelisse
9 O. Darfalou
41 B. Leeflang
23 B. Bayazit
44 E. Hernández
24 J. Houwen
47 N. Cheung

Coach: T. Letsch

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-2-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
31 P. Max D
28 O. Boscagli D
33 J. Teze D
30 R. Thomas M
8 J. Hendrix M
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
10 M. Ihattaren M
7 E. Zahavi F
23 N. Madueke F
Bench (5)
9 D. Malen
11 A. Fein
16 V. Müller
13 L. Unnerstall
4 N. Viergever

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,93
U
3,75
B
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.