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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
PSV Eindhoven
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Waalwijk
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,7
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
6,0
3,6
Scored
4,6
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+3,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
31 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 4. · Waalwijk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +16 12
5 Twente 5 4 0 1 +8 12
6 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
7 Excelsior 6 3 0 3 -7 9
8 Utrecht 6 2 2 2 -1 8
9 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Nijmegen 6 1 4 1 +2 7
11 Waalwijk 5 1 3 1 +2 6
12 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -5 5
13 Cambuur 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Vitesse 6 1 1 4 -9 4
15 FC Emmen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Volendam 6 1 1 4 -13 4
17 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 0 5 -7 3
18 For Sittard 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Waalwijk
23′
🟨 Jurien Gaari
45′
🟨 Shawn Adewoye
Half-time 0–0
P. Max 🔁
↦ P. Mwene
46′
J. Branthwaite 🔁
↦ K. Hoever
58′
G. Til 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
58′
62′
🔁 Z. Bakkali
↦ Julen Lobete
Érick Gutiérrez 🟨
64′
Sávio 🔁
↦ É. Gutiérrez
71′
74′
🟨 Dario Van Den Buijs
75′
🔁 Y. Oukili
↦ J. Gaari
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ A. El Ghazi
82′
82′
🔁 H. Mulder
↦ S. Bakari
85′
🟨 Michiel Kramer
88′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ P. Clement
94′
🟨 Etienne Vaessen
1–0 C. Gakpo
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
2 K. Hoever D
3 J. Teze D
4 A. Obispo D
29 P. Mwene D
15 É. Gutiérrez M
23 J. Veerman M
28 I. Saibari M
7 X. Simons M
11 C. Gakpo M
21 A. El Ghazi F
Bench (10)
31 P. Max
22 J. Branthwaite
20 G. Til
33 Sávio
32 Y. Vertessen
16 J. Drommel
37 R. Ledezma
5 André Ramalho
27 J. Bakayoko
24 B. Waterman

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
2 J. Lelieveld D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
5 T. Lutonda D
22 S. Bakari M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
29 M. Kramer F
7 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
19 Z. Bakkali
33 Y. Oukili
12 H. Mulder
8 P. Vroegh
9 M. Biereth
11 I. Bel Hassani
26 S. Augustijns
21 Joel Pereira
13 M. Spenkelink
34 L. Wouters
35 K. Felida
17 R. Kuijpers

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,16
U
7,76
B
15,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,31
U2,5 ✓
3,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.