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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
Vitesse
S T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Waalwijk
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
3,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
5,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
25 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 18. · Waalwijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +4 5
8 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -4 5
9 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Cambuur 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 FC Emmen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Utrecht 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Waalwijk 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Volendam 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 For Sittard 3 0 0 3 -7 0
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 Vitesse 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Waalwijk
Romaric Yapi 🟨
-5′
35′
F. Jozefzoon 0–1
P. Vroegh
45′
🟨 Yassin Oukili
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Wouters
↦ T. Lutonda
50′
I. Bel Hassani 0–2
M. Sankoh 🔁
↦ T. Buitink
55′
K. Kozłowski 🔁
↦ Ferro
55′
56′
🔁 P. Clement
↦ Y. Oukili
1–2 M. Bero
61′
2–2 R. Flamingo
M. Wittek
71′
72′
🔁 Julen Lobete
↦ F. Jozefzoon
72′
🔁 S. Bakari
↦ I. Bel Hassani
80′
🔁 V. Anita
↦ P. Vroegh
R. Yapi 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
83′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

5-3-2
16 K. Scherpen G
2 C. Arcus D
5 Ferro D
20 M. Meulensteen D
13 E. Cornelisse D
32 M. Wittek D
42 M. Manhoef M
3 R. Flamingo M
21 M. Bero M
29 T. Buitink F
11 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (9)
9 M. Sankoh
17 K. Kozłowski
27 R. Yapi
18 T. Hájek
22 T. Domgjoni
33 D. Reiziger
23 D. Huisman
53 S. van Duivenbooden
24 J. Houwen

Coach: T. Letsch

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
15 L. Nieuwpoort D
5 T. Lutonda D
11 I. Bel Hassani M
33 Y. Oukili M
8 P. Vroegh M
29 M. Kramer F
10 F. Jozefzoon F
Bench (12)
34 L. Wouters
14 P. Clement
7 Julen Lobete
22 S. Bakari
6 V. Anita
12 H. Mulder
21 Joel Pereira
20 L. Daneels
13 M. Spenkelink
19 Z. Bakkali
26 S. Augustijns
17 R. Kuijpers

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,98
B
4,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.