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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
2–0
Full-time
Twente
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 21/19 matches
Win Ø 41%
24%
58%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
42%
Both score Ø 47%
62%
32%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 13. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 22 14 7 1 +29 49
2 AZ Alkmaar 22 13 5 4 +20 44
3 Ajax 21 12 7 2 +37 43
4 PSV Eindhoven 21 13 3 5 +30 42
5 Twente 19 11 6 2 +23 39
6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 10 6 3 +16 36
7 Utrecht 20 8 6 6 -2 30
8 Waalwijk 22 7 8 7 +0 29
9 Heerenveen 21 7 6 8 -3 27
10 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -9 26
11 Nijmegen 21 4 12 5 +2 24
12 Vitesse 22 5 8 9 -12 23
13 Go Ahead Eagles 21 5 7 9 -8 22
14 Volendam 22 5 5 12 -24 20
15 Excelsior 21 6 2 13 -28 20
16 FC Emmen 22 3 8 11 -20 17
17 Groningen 22 3 5 14 -26 14
18 Cambuur 22 3 4 15 -25 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Twente
1–0 P. Rommens
José Fontán
6′
2–0 I. Lidberg
P. Rommens
16′
R. Fernandes 🔁
↦ W. Willumsson
34′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Vlap
↦ A. Salah-Eddine
46′
🔁 A. Sampsted
↦ M. Bruns
71′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ V. Misidjan
71′
🔁 M. Ugalde
↦ S. Steijn
75′
🟨 Michel Vlap
F. Oppegård 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
78′
S. Sow 🔁
↦ F. Stokkers
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-1-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
25 J. Amofa D
4 José Fontán D
18 W. Willumsson M
6 J. Idzes M
10 P. Rommens M
11 B. Adekanye M
9 I. Lidberg F
27 F. Stokkers F
Bench (10)
7 R. Fernandes
26 F. Oppegård
19 S. Sow
17 Darío Serra
24 J. Markelo
40 L. Plogmann
20 X. Blomme
8 E. Linthorst
22 E. Mulder
33 F. Mattiello

Coach: R. Hake

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
38 M. Bruns D
5 G. Smal D
14 S. Steijn M
21 M. Kjølø M
17 A. Salah-Eddine M
7 V. Černý F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan F
Bench (7)
18 M. Vlap
12 A. Sampsted
11 D. Rots
27 M. Ugalde
16 I. El Maach
26 D. Cleonise
22 P. Tytoń

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,01
U
3,56
B
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.