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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Nijmegen

T S T S S

1–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 43%

45%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 48%

36%

60%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 7

3 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 8. · Heerenveen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+35	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+8	24
3	Utrecht	11	7	2	2	+14	23
4	Feyenoord	10	7	1	2	+13	22
5	Vitesse	11	6	1	4	-6	19
6	Twente	12	5	3	4	+1	18
7	Willem II	11	5	3	3	-2	18
8	Nijmegen	11	5	2	4	-2	17
9	Go Ahead Eagles	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Cambuur	11	5	0	6	-6	15
11	Heerenveen	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	0	5	+3	12
13	Heracles	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	Waalwijk	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	For Sittard	10	2	3	5	-9	9
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	4	6	-11	7
18	Zwolle	11	1	1	9	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+26	15
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
4	Go Ahead Eagles	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Twente	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
7	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+7	9
10	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Waalwijk	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
14	Groningen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
15	Heerenveen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-3	6
17	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	6	5	0	1	+0	15
2	Feyenoord	6	4	0	2	+7	12
3	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+9	11
4	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-3	10
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Twente	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Cambuur	5	2	0	3	-8	6
11	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-9	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-9	4
13	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-5	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Zwolle	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.