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Eredivisie
Referee: R Hensgens
Waalwijk
U S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Groningen
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
5,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,12 xG 2,22
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 17. · Groningen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 For Sittard 2 2 0 0 +5 +1.8 6
2 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.0 6
3 Twente 2 1 1 0 +1 +3.0 4
4 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.9 4
5 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.0 3
6 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.0 3
7 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
8 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 2 0 +0 -1.5 2
9 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.7 1
10 Willem II 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.7 1
11 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
12 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
13 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.7 0
14 Nijmegen 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.1 0
15 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.7 0
16 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.0 0
17 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.0 0
18 Almere City 2 0 0 2 -4 -3.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Groningen
11′
J. Schreuders 0–1
L. Bacuna
Half-time 0–1
Richard van der Venne 🟨
48′
Denilho Cleonise 🟨
55′
67′
🟨 Leandro Bacuna
73′
🔁 T. Oosting
↦ Rui Mendes
77′
T. van Bergen 0–2
L. Bacuna
J. Familia-Castillo 🔁
↦ J. Lelieveld
78′
R. Margaret 🔁
↦ D. Cleonise
78′
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ A. Meijers
79′
L. van Gelderen 🔁
↦ D. Van den Buijs
79′
D. Weidmann 🔁
↦ G. Roemeratoe
84′
87′
🔁 B. Willumsson
↦ L. Valente
88′
🔁 T. Blokzijl
↦ T. van Bergen
1–2 R. van der Venne
89′
93′
🟨 Finn Stam
Oskar Zawada 🟥
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 J. Houwen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
17 R. van Eijma D
3 D. Van den Buijs D
28 A. Meijers D
24 G. Roemeratoe M
6 Y. Oukili M
7 D. Cleonise M
23 R. van der Venne M
14 C. Lokesa M
9 O. Zawada F
Bench (11)
5 J. Familia-Castillo
19 R. Margaret
29 M. Kramer
4 L. van Gelderen
30 D. Weidmann
13 J. Kesting
21 Y. van Osch
20 I. Takidine
8 P. Vroegh
22 T. van de Loo
10 R. Niemeijer

Coach: H. Fraser

Groningen

4-4-2
1 E. Vaessen G
7 L. Bacuna D
5 M. Rente D
43 M. Peersman D
22 F. Stam D
14 J. Schreuders M
8 J. Hove M
18 T. de Jonge M
10 L. Valente M
27 Rui Mendes F
26 T. van Bergen F
Bench (9)
25 T. Oosting
9 B. Willumsson
3 T. Blokzijl
67 S. Bouland
4 J. Pelupessy
24 D. Baron
21 H. Jurjus
11 N. Emeran
2 W. Prins

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,71
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hensgens · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.