Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

AZ Alkmaar

S S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,02 xG 0,40

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Nijmegen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
2	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
3	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
5	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.5	2
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
10	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
13	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
2	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
7	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
8	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
9	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
11	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
2	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
5	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
6	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
7	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
8	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
9	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
10	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
11	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
12	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.