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KNVB Beker

Referee: L Gerrets

Utrecht

T T T S U

3–2

Full-time

Waalwijk

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	RKAV Volendam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	DEM	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
14	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
20	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
21	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
23	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
24	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
49	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
83	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
84	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	DEM	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	SJC Noordwijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
11	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
29	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
2	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
4	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
54	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.