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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
AZ Alkmaar
S S T S S
4–1
Full-time
Groningen
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
4,2
Scored
3,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,56 xG 1,50
51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. May -25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 3–0 18. Dec -24 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 3–1 25. Aug -24 Groningen – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 11. Mar -23 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 1–0 1. Oct -22 Groningen – AZ Alkmaar 1–4

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Groningen
1–0 D. Kasius ⚽
E. Poku
5′
2–0 T. Parrott ⚽
18′
2–1 S. Resink ⚽
own goal
32′
Mees de Wit 🟨
35′
44′
⚽ M. Rente 2–2
Y. Taha
Half-time 2–2
46′
🔁 J. Schreuders
↦ D. van der Werff
Kees Smit 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Tika de Jonge
61′
🟨 Marvin Peersman
66′
🔁 T. Mercera
↦ W. Prins
I. Jensen 🔁
↦ R. Daal
68′
74′
🔁 N. Emeran
↦ M. Rente
P. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ K. Smit
76′
M. Chavez Garcia 🔁
↦ M. de Wit
77′
M. Meerdink 🔁
↦ E. Poku
77′
I. Sadiq 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
85′
3–2 T. Parrott ⚽
M. Chavez Garcia
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
41 J. Zoet G
30 D. Kasius D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
34 M. de Wit D
8 J. Clasie M
26 K. Smit M
7 E. Poku M
10 S. Mijnans M
27 R. Daal M
9 T. Parrott F
Bench (10)
12 H. Verhulst
31 D. Deen
6 P. Koopmeiners
11 I. Sadiq
15 M. Chavez Garcia
17 I. Jensen
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
28 Z. Buurmeester
35 M. Meerdink

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Groningen

4-2-3-1
21 H. Jurjus G
5 M. Rente D
3 T. Blokzijl D
43 M. Peersman D
2 W. Prins D
8 T. de Jonge M
6 S. Resink M
10 Y. Taha M
26 T. van Bergen M
17 D. van der Werff M
9 B. Willumsson F
Bench (12)
24 D. Baron
41 S. Petiet
11 N. Emeran
14 J. Schreuders
16 T. Mercera
20 M. Seuntjens
22 S. Bouland
27 R. Mendes
48 R. Kelder
44 J. Dillema
55 Y. Holder
69 M. Hoekstra

Coach: Dick Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
🔒
U
4,32
🔒
B
5,91
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
U2,5
2,07
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.