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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Groningen

S U T S T

1–4

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

1,1

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 12. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	0	2	+15	18
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Twente	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Waalwijk	7	2	3	2	+5	9
8	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Excelsior	7	3	0	4	-8	9
11	Nijmegen	7	1	5	1	+2	8
12	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Cambuur	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	0	5	-5	6
15	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Volendam	7	1	2	4	-13	5
17	For Sittard	7	1	1	5	-8	4
18	FC Emmen	7	1	1	5	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+14	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Waalwijk	4	2	1	1	+6	7
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+3	6
8	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	FC Emmen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Volendam	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	For Sittard	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Nijmegen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Vitesse	4	0	2	2	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	0	2	+4	6
5	Nijmegen	4	1	3	0	+3	6
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Cambuur	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Vitesse	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Volendam	4	0	2	2	-10	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.