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Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Hertha

T T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Freiburg

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

21%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

86%

64%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,5

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

2,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

16 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 15. · Freiburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	14	10	1	3	+14	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	9	3	2	+23	30
3	Dortmund	14	7	5	2	+14	26
4	Schalke 04	14	7	4	3	+7	25
5	Freiburg	14	7	4	3	+7	25
6	Leverkusen	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Bayern Munich	14	7	3	4	+15	24
8	Hoffenheim	15	6	3	6	-6	21
9	Wolfsburg	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Augsburg	15	5	5	5	-4	20
11	Union Berlin	14	6	1	7	-1	19
12	Ein Frankfurt	14	5	3	6	+2	18
13	Mainz	14	5	0	9	-14	15
14	Werder Bremen	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	Hertha	14	3	3	8	-9	12
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	3	3	8	-13	12
17	Paderborn	14	2	2	10	-15	8
18	FC Koln	14	2	2	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+17	17
3	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+7	15
4	Union Berlin	8	5	0	3	+3	15
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+12	13
8	Leverkusen	8	3	4	1	+3	13
9	Schalke 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-6	10
12	Mainz	6	3	0	3	+0	9
13	Wolfsburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	FC Koln	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Paderborn	7	1	0	6	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Leverkusen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Bayern Munich	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Wolfsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Dortmund	7	2	3	2	-3	9
11	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Hertha	8	1	3	4	-5	6
13	Mainz	8	2	0	6	-14	6
14	Paderborn	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	1	2	5	-9	5
16	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-13	4
18	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	0	5	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.