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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Oostende
U S T S T
3–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 23/28 matches
Win Ø 34%
39%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 14. · St Truiden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 25 15 5 5 +16 50
2 Club Brugge 23 15 4 4 +31 49
3 Genk 25 12 9 4 +18 45
4 Waregem 29 14 3 12 +2 45
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 12 7 9 +3 43
6 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +4 41
7 Beerschot VA 27 12 4 11 -3 40
8 Kortrijk 29 11 6 12 -1 39
9 Anderlecht 26 8 14 4 +11 38
10 Charleroi 27 11 5 11 +2 38
11 Standard 23 10 6 7 +5 36
12 Eupen 28 8 12 8 -8 36
13 Gent 25 10 5 10 +9 35
14 Oostende 23 9 5 9 +3 32
15 St Truiden 28 8 7 13 -7 31
16 Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
18 Cercle Brugge 27 8 1 18 -13 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21
20 Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende St Truiden
1–0 M. Gueye
N. Bätzner
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Steuckers
↦ M. Caufriez
2–0 M. Gueye
60′
73′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
74′
🔁 K. Matsubara
↦ D. Lavalée
3–0 F. Sakala
74′
M. Kvasina 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
78′
M. Thiam 🔁
↦ F. Sakala
78′
78′
🔁 D. Nazon
↦ C. Brüls
78′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ S. De Ridder
K. Vandendriessche 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
84′
F. Marquet 🔁
↦ N. Bätzner
84′
I. Boonen 🔁
↦ R. DHaese
89′
90′
Y. Suzuki 3–1
D. Nazon
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Oostende

3-4-2-1
28 G. Hubert G
27 B. Capon D
33 A. Tanghe D
5 A. Theate D
17 A. Hjulsager F
6 M. D'Arpino M
25 J. Bataille M
29 R. D'Haese M
34 N. Bätzner M
10 F. Sakala F
7 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
21 M. Kvasina
19 M. Thiam
26 K. Vandendriessche
8 F. Marquet
11 I. Boonen
20 T. Matam
99 B. Castro

Coach: A. Blessin

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
40 J. Pius D
3 M. Caufriez D
27 D. Lavalée D
44 C. Brüls M
32 C. Durkin M
16 S. De Ridder M
7 I. Mboyo F
9 Y. Suzuki F
Bench (7)
61 J. Steuckers
2 K. Matsubara
90 D. Nazon
24 M. Konaté
22 W. Janssens
11 O. Filippov
1 K. Steppe

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,23
B
3,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.