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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Lorient

T T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Reims

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Reims

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,3

1,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 27%

23%

30%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

52%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 18. · Reims 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	23	15	6	2	+25	51
2	Lyon	23	14	7	2	+27	49
3	Paris SG	23	15	3	5	+39	48
4	Monaco	23	14	3	6	+14	45
5	Rennes	22	10	7	5	+7	37
6	Metz	23	9	8	6	+7	35
7	Lens	23	10	5	8	+1	35
8	Angers	23	10	4	9	-5	34
9	Marseille	21	9	6	6	+5	33
10	Bordeaux	23	9	5	9	-1	32
11	Montpellier	23	8	5	10	-7	29
12	Reims	23	7	7	9	-1	28
13	Brest	23	8	3	12	-8	27
14	Nice	22	7	5	10	-7	26
15	Strasbourg	23	7	4	12	-4	25
16	St Etienne	23	5	8	10	-14	23
17	Nantes	23	3	10	10	-15	19
18	Lorient	22	5	4	13	-16	19
19	Dijon	23	2	9	12	-17	15
20	Nimes	22	4	3	15	-30	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	1	2	+27	28
2	Lille	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Monaco	12	8	3	1	+13	27
4	Lyon	11	7	3	1	+14	24
5	Metz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
6	Brest	11	6	1	4	+2	19
7	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+0	18
9	Angers	11	5	1	5	-2	16
10	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
11	Lens	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Reims	11	4	3	4	-1	15
13	Lorient	11	4	1	6	-4	13
14	Montpellier	12	4	1	7	-5	13
15	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Nantes	11	2	6	3	-5	12
17	St Etienne	11	2	5	4	-7	11
18	Nice	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Dijon	12	0	6	6	-8	6
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	12	7	4	1	+13	25
2	Lille	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Paris SG	11	6	2	3	+12	20
4	Lens	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
6	Nice	11	5	3	3	+5	18
7	Marseille	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Monaco	11	6	0	5	+1	18
9	Angers	12	5	3	4	-3	18
10	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Montpellier	11	4	4	3	-2	16
12	Bordeaux	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Reims	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Strasbourg	11	4	1	6	-1	13
15	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Nimes	12	3	2	7	-16	11
17	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Brest	12	2	2	8	-10	8
19	Nantes	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Lorient	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.