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Süper Lig
Referee: Mete Kalkavan
Alanyaspor
T U S S U
2–1
Full-time
Rizespor
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
33 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
13 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 5. · Rizespor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 22 15 3 4 +21 48
2 Galatasaray 22 14 3 5 +28 45
3 Besiktas 22 14 3 5 +23 45
4 Trabzonspor 22 11 6 5 +4 39
5 Alanyaspor 22 11 5 6 +16 38
6 Hatayspor 23 11 5 7 +10 38
7 Gaziantep 22 9 8 5 +7 35
8 Karagumruk 22 9 7 6 +6 34
9 Antalyaspor 22 7 9 6 -5 30
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 22 7 8 7 +1 29
11 Goztep 22 6 8 8 +4 26
12 Rizespor 22 6 8 8 -9 26
13 Kasimpasa 23 7 5 11 -11 26
14 Sivasspor 22 5 10 7 -6 25
15 Konyaspor 21 6 6 9 +0 24
16 Buyuksehyr 22 6 6 10 -13 24
17 Kayserispor 22 6 5 11 -11 23
18 Erzurumspor 22 5 6 11 -15 21
19 Genclerbirligi 22 5 5 12 -21 20
20 Ankaragücü 21 5 3 13 -10 18
21 Denizlispor 22 4 5 13 -19 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Rizespor
-5′
🟨 Fernando Boldrin
25′
M. Talbi 0–1
D. Melnjak
1–1 A. Bareiro
32′
Ceyhun Gülselam ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
36′
Efecan Karaca 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Yassine Meriah
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 G. Donsah
↦ D. Erdoğan
46′
🔁 K. Michalak
↦ A. Søderlund
65′
🟨 Gökhan Akkan
Georgios Tzavellas 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 Samu
↦ M. Škoda
U. Güneş 🔁
↦ C. Gülselam
76′
85′
🟨 Damjan Đoković
86′
🟨 Montassar Talbi
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
88′
88′
🔁 Fabricio Baiano
↦ Rick Boldrin
90′
🟨 Emir Dilaver
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ A. Bareiro
91′
93′
🔁 Fernando
↦ D. Đoković
2–1 M. Pektemek
S. Caulker
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
24 Juanfran D
7 E. Karaca M
6 C. Gülselam M
8 S. Uçan M
22 B. Kutlu M
91 Davidson M
9 A. Bareiro F
Bench (10)
27 U. Güneş
75 T. Bingöl
19 M. Pektemek
23 E. Bekiroglu
5 F. Aksoy
3 A. Gülay
26 E. Siopis
14 H. Acar
92 D. Kądzior
30 S. Kırıntılı

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Rizespor

5-3-2
25 G. Akkan G
55 M. Moroziuk D
24 E. Dilaver D
53 D. Melnjak D
80 Y. Meriah D
4 M. Talbi D
88 D. Đoković M
10 Rick Boldrin M
66 D. Erdoğan M
21 M. Škoda F
14 A. Søderlund F
Bench (10)
23 G. Donsah
17 K. Michalak
18 Samu
8 Fabricio Baiano
37 Fernando
26 O. Bulut
30 Z. Görgen
5 A. Durak
15 S. Ay
1 T. Çetin

Coach: M. Şumudică

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,09
B
5,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mete Kalkavan · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.