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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Huesca
T T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
10%
60%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
29%
45%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
13 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 20. · Real Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 19 16 2 1 +30 50
2 Barcelona 20 12 4 4 +23 40
3 Real Madrid 20 12 4 4 +17 40
4 Sevilla 20 12 3 5 +12 39
5 Villarreal 21 8 11 2 +9 35
6 Sociedad 21 8 8 5 +13 32
7 Betis 21 9 3 9 -7 30
8 Granada 22 8 6 8 -10 30
9 Levante 21 6 9 6 +0 27
10 Celta 21 6 7 8 -7 25
11 Ath Bilbao 20 7 3 10 +2 24
12 Getafe 20 6 6 8 -6 24
13 Cadiz 21 6 6 9 -12 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 -2 23
15 Alaves 22 5 7 10 -10 22
16 Eibar 21 4 8 9 -6 20
17 Valladolid 22 4 8 10 -12 20
18 Osasuna 21 4 7 10 -11 19
19 Elche 19 3 8 8 -10 17
20 Huesca 21 2 10 9 -13 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Real Madrid
32′
🟨 Toni Kroos
Pablo Maffeo 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Javier Galán
S. Okazaki
48′
Gastón Silva 🟨
53′
55′
R. Varane 1–1
Dani Escriche 🔁
↦ S. Okazaki
62′
67′
🔁 Marcelo
↦ Odriozola
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
73′
78′
🔁 M. Díaz
↦ Vinícius Júnior
78′
🔁 Marvin
↦ F. Mendy
84′
R. Varane 1–2
David Ferreiro 🔁
↦ G. Silva
86′
Juan Carlos 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
86′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Huesca

3-5-2
1 Álvaro Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
14 Jorge Pulido D
22 G. Silva D
3 Pablo Maffeo M
11 Javier Galán M
17 Mikel Rico M
20 Jaime Seoane M
2 I. Doumbia M
12 S. Okazaki F
9 Rafa Mir F
Bench (10)
23 Dani Escriche
15 Javi Ontiveros
7 David Ferreiro
21 Juan Carlos
24 Borja García
25 D. Vavro
13 Andrés Fernández
19 Pedro López
10 Sergio Gómez
4 Pablo Ínsua

Coach: Pacheta

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
6 Nacho D
5 R. Varane D
19 Odriozola D
23 F. Mendy D
10 L. Modrić M
8 T. Kroos M
14 Casemiro M
9 K. Benzema F
11 Asensio F
20 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (6)
12 Marcelo
24 M. Díaz
28 Marvin
13 A. Lunin
26 Diego Altube
32 Víctor Chust

Coach: Z. Zidane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,82
U
4,49
B ✓
1,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.