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Eredivisie
Referee: S Mulder
PSV Eindhoven
T S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Twente
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 53%
65%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
70%
55%
Both score Ø 65%
65%
65%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
25 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
12 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
6 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Twente 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 16 2 2 +51 50
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 13 4 3 +24 43
3 Vitesse 20 13 3 4 +16 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 11 7 3 +14 40
5 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
6 Groningen 19 10 3 6 +5 33
7 Twente 20 8 6 6 +8 30
8 Heracles 21 8 4 9 -6 28
9 Heerenveen 20 6 8 6 +1 26
10 Utrecht 18 6 8 4 +0 26
11 For Sittard 21 7 4 10 -9 25
12 Zwolle 21 4 11 6 -7 23
13 Sparta Rotterdam 19 6 4 9 -3 22
14 VVV Venlo 20 6 4 10 -15 22
15 Waalwijk 21 3 7 11 -17 16
16 Willem II 20 3 4 13 -18 13
17 Den Haag 20 2 6 12 -28 12
18 FC Emmen 21 0 6 15 -33 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Twente
1–0 D. Malen
30′
2–0 E. Zahavi
D. Dumfries
36′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 D. Malen
M. Ihattaren
53′
66′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ L. Narsingh
66′
🔁 T. van Leeuwen
↦ Q. Menig
75′
🟥 Luka Ilić
R. Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Ihattaren
75′
M. van Ginkel 🔁
↦ Mauro Júnior
75′
79′
🔁 C. Staring
↦ Danilo
T. Baumgartl 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
80′
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ I. Sangaré
80′
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ D. Malen
86′
86′
🔁 M. Bruns
↦ Julio Pleguezuelo
86′
🔁 N. Markelo
↦ T. Ebuehi
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-2-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
31 P. Max D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
33 J. Teze D
17 Mauro Júnior M
6 I. Sangaré M
18 P. Rosario M
10 M. Ihattaren M
7 E. Zahavi F
9 D. Malen F
Bench (9)
30 R. Thomas
14 M. van Ginkel
5 T. Baumgartl
15 É. Gutiérrez
53 Y. Vertessen
13 L. Unnerstall
29 J. Piroe
21 M. Delanghe
11 A. Fein

Coach: R. Schmidt

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
43 D. Dumić D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
23 T. Ebuehi D
15 K. Pierie D
8 L. Ilić M
32 J. Bosch M
19 R. Zerrouki M
25 L. Narsingh F
11 Q. Menig F
9 Danilo F
Bench (9)
39 D. Rots
37 T. van Leeuwen
40 C. Staring
38 M. Bruns
24 N. Markelo
35 M. Hilgers
22 J. de Lange
10 I. Abass
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,85
B
6,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Mulder · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.