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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hibernian
U S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 47%
48%
46%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 34%
33%
35%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · Aberdeen 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 27 24 3 0 +60 75
2 Celtic 25 15 7 3 +35 52
3 Hibernian 27 13 7 7 +11 46
4 Aberdeen 26 12 8 6 +5 44
5 Livingston 27 11 6 10 +4 39
6 ST Johnstone 28 7 9 12 -10 30
7 St Mirren 24 8 5 11 -4 29
8 Dundee United 27 6 10 11 -17 28
9 Motherwell 25 6 7 12 -14 25
10 Kilmarnock 26 7 3 16 -11 24
11 Ross County 27 6 5 16 -30 23
12 Hamilton 25 5 4 16 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -20 Aberdeen – Hibernian 2–0 30. Aug -20 Hibernian – Aberdeen 0–1 7. Mar -20 Aberdeen – Hibernian 3–1 7. Dec -19 Hibernian – Aberdeen 3–0 5. Oct -19 Aberdeen – Hibernian 1–1

Match report

Hibernian Aberdeen
7′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ G. Leigh
1–0 M. Boyle ⚽
27′
Half-time 1–0
Alexander Gogić 🟨
53′
59′
🔁 C. Hendry
↦ C. McLennan
59′
🔁 N. McGinn
↦ D. McGeouch
L. Stevenson 🔁
↦ J. Doig
67′
K. Magennis 🔁
↦ J. Irvine
67′
2–0 M. Boyle ⚽
L. Stevenson
67′
M. Hallberg 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
76′
76′
🔁 S. Logan
↦ A. Taylor
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
24 D. McGregor D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
27 C. Cadden M
25 J. Doig M
10 M. Boyle F
36 J. Irvine M
18 J. Murphy F
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
16 L. Stevenson
7 K. Magennis
20 M. Hallberg
15 K. Nisbet
5 R. Porteous
33 M. Macey
23 S. Allan
8 D. Wright
2 D. Gray

Coach: J. Ross

Aberdeen

3-4-2-1
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
14 A. Taylor D
3 T. Hoban D
5 G. Leigh M
17 J. Hayes F
33 M. Kennedy M
15 D. McGeouch M
40 R. McCrorie M
19 L. Ferguson F
7 F. Hornby F
Bench (9)
18 C. McLennan
9 C. Hendry
10 N. McGinn
2 S. Logan
23 E. Ross
29 J. MacKenzie
26 M. Virtanen
43 G. Woods
24 D. Campbell

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
🔒
U
3,19
🔒
B
2,84
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,23
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.