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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Genk
T S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
3,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 12/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
58%
14%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
75%
57%
Both score Ø 69%
67%
71%
Average goals
3,9
2,6
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
8 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 3. · Cercle Brugge 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 12 10 1 1 +22 31
2 Anderlecht 12 6 5 1 +14 23
3 Genk 12 7 2 3 +13 23
4 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +7 23
5 Kortrijk 15 6 5 4 +3 23
6 Club Brugge 11 6 4 1 +7 22
7 Eupen 15 6 3 6 +2 21
8 Charleroi 12 5 5 2 +8 20
9 Mechelen 13 6 2 5 +0 20
10 Oostende 15 6 2 7 -6 20
11 Standard 15 5 5 5 -6 20
12 St Truiden 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 3 8 3 -4 17
14 Waregem 15 3 5 7 -15 14
15 Gent 12 3 4 5 +2 13
16 Seraing 14 4 1 9 -11 13
17 Seraing United 14 4 1 9 -11 13
18 Cercle Brugge 14 2 3 9 -8 9
19 Beerschot VA 15 2 3 10 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Cercle Brugge
25′
ℹ️ Hannes Van Der Bruggen
VAR: Goal cancelled
38′
T. Somers 0–1
D. Hotič
Half-time 0–1
I. Ugbo 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
46′
Á. Preciado 🔁
↦ D. Muñoz
46′
T. Bongonda 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
58′
M. Trésor 🔁
↦ B. Toma
58′
Ike Ugbo 🟨
63′
73′
🔁 O. Deman
↦ Álex Millán
82′
🔁 K. Denkey
↦ T. Somers
L. Oyen 🔁
↦ K. Thorstvedt
88′
88′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ D. Hotič
1–1 T. Bongonda
Á. Preciado
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
8 B. Heynen M
14 B. Toma M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
7 J. Ito F
28 J. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
21 I. Ugbo
77 Á. Preciado
10 T. Bongonda
11 M. Trésor
24 L. Oyen
40 T. Leysen
2 M. McKenzie

Coach: J. van den Brom

Cercle Brugge

4-4-2
1 T. Didillon G
18 S. Miangué D
4 J. Daland D
2 Vitinho D
3 Sousa D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
10 D. Hotič M
11 R. Matondo M
29 Álex Millán F
34 T. Somers F
Bench (7)
23 O. Deman
9 K. Denkey
14 C. Vanhoutte
8 R. Decostere
19 D. Velkovski
5 B. Popović
21 Warleson

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,54
U ✓
4,36
B
5,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.