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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Standard
S S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Gent
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 51%
43%
58%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 12
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 11. · Gent 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 32 24 4 4 +30 76
2 Genk 31 23 6 2 +49 75
3 Antwerp 31 23 4 4 +39 73
4 Gent 31 18 5 8 +35 59
5 Club Brugge 32 17 7 8 +27 58
6 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
7 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
9 Cercle Brugge 31 13 11 7 +10 50
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Standard 30 13 6 11 +4 45
12 Westerlo 31 11 10 10 +4 43
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Gent
31′
⚽ G. Orban 0–1
H. Cuypers
42′
🟨 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe
Half-time 0–1
Steven Alzate 🟨
51′
1–1 S. Alzate ⚽
A. Dønnum
56′
61′
⚽ H. Cuypers 1–2
F. Melegoni 🔁
↦ G. Cimirot
63′
63′
🔁 Núrio Fortuna
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
N. Ohio 🔁
↦ R. Emond
64′
Konstantinos Laifis 🟨
68′
J. Laursen 🔁
↦ N. Dussenne
82′
S. Perica 🔁
↦ C. Çanak
83′
Steven Alzate 🟨
84′
Steven Alzate 🟥
84′
85′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ G. Orban
85′
🔁 A. Castro-Montes
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
93′
🟨 Joseph Okumu
94′
🟨 Núrio Fortuna
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Standard

3-4-3
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
20 M. Bokadi D
34 K. Laifis D
13 M. Fossey M
8 G. Cimirot M
14 S. Alzate M
11 A. Dønnum M
61 C. Çanak F
9 R. Emond F
77 P. Zinckernagel F
Bench (7)
21 F. Melegoni
10 N. Ohio
38 J. Laursen
28 S. Perica
51 L. Noubi
30 L. Henkinet
17 O. Davida

Coach: R. Deila

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
4 K. Piątkowski D
2 J. Okumu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe F
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
25 Núrio Fortuna
34 T. Tissoudali
14 A. Castro-Montes
31 B. Godeau
33 D. Roef
10 J. Hauge
19 M. Fofana

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,07
U
3,53
B ✓
1,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

J Boterberg · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.