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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

Genk

U S T U U

3–3

Full-time

Westerlo

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 43%

25%

60%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,17 xG 1,12

36% Possession 64%

18 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 11. · Westerlo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+13	+9.3	13
2	Anderlecht	5	4	1	0	+5	+0.6	13
3	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+4	+4.2	12
4	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.5	12
5	RWD Molenbeek	8	3	2	3	-8	-5.4	11
6	Antwerp	6	2	4	0	+9	+3.9	10
7	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.8	10
8	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+4	-1.5	8
9	Eupen	8	2	1	5	-8	-8.2	7
10	Standard	6	1	3	2	+0	-4.7	6
11	Genk	4	1	2	1	+3	+6.1	5
12	St Truiden	5	1	2	2	-2	-2.9	5
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
14	Kortrijk	7	1	2	4	-10	-0.1	5
15	Charleroi	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.8	4
16	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.8	9
2	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+8	+5.4	7
3	Mechelen	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
4	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
5	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
6	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
7	RWD Molenbeek	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.3	6
8	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+6	+2.1	5
9	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
11	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
12	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
13	Genk	3	0	2	1	-1	+3.5	2
14	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
16	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
2	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.0	6
3	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.9	6
4	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	-2	+2.1	6
5	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.8	5
6	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
7	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.5	5
8	RWD Molenbeek	4	1	2	1	-5	-3.2	5
9	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
10	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.5	3
11	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
13	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Charleroi	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.4	1
16	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.