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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Mechelen
T T S U T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 79%
71%
86%
Average goals
4,0
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
2,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 16. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 8 5 1 2 -2 16
2 Oostende 9 5 0 4 -3 15
3 Eupen 9 4 2 3 +4 14
4 Anderlecht 6 4 1 1 +11 13
5 Kortrijk 8 4 1 3 +3 13
6 Genk 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Club Brugge 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 St. Gilloise 5 3 1 1 +7 10
9 Charleroi 6 2 4 0 +6 10
10 St Truiden 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Seraing 7 3 0 4 -4 9
12 Seraing United 7 3 0 4 -4 9
13 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 +2 8
14 Cercle Brugge 9 2 2 5 -2 8
15 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -3 8
16 Mechelen 7 2 1 4 -6 7
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 1 4 2 -6 7
18 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
19 Beerschot VA 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-5′
🟨 Dylan Ouedraogo
2′
🟨 Alexis De Sart
1–0 N. Storm
H. Cuypers
8′
18′
🟨 Pierre-Yves Ngawa
26′
🟨 Xavier Mercier
Sheldon Bateau 🟨
38′
2–0 K. Mrabti
S. Bateau
44′
Half-time 2–0
Hugo Cuypers 🟨
51′
60′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ A. De Sart
60′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ K. Rezaei
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
65′
G. Engvall 🔁
↦ N. Storm
74′
76′
🔁 L. Shengelia
↦ C. De Norre
Joachim Van Damme 🟨
83′
Lucas Bijker 🟨
86′
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Siebe Schrijvers
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
90′
93′
🟥 Soufiane Chakla
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
17 S. Oum Gouet M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
8 O. Kaya
20 G. Engvall
9 F. Druijf
15 Y. Thoelen
33 Vinicius Souza
10 I. de Camargo
7 G. Hairemans

Coach: W. Vrancken

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
90 R. Romo G
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
4 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens F
21 A. De Sart M
99 K. Rezaei F
11 Musa Al-Taamari M
Bench (7)
9 S. Kaba
8 S. Schrijvers
19 L. Shengelia
14 T. Vlietinck
15 D. Ouédraogo
13 R. Rúnarsson
27 M. Keita

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
4,07
B
4,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,43
U2,5 ✓
2,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.