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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Santa Clara
S S U S S
0–0
Full-time
Sp Braga
U S S T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,04 xG 0,50
48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 4. · Sp Braga 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 +13 +5.4 18
2 Benfica 6 5 1 0 +17 +9.3 16
3 Sp Lisbon 7 4 3 0 +9 +4.3 15
4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0 +7 +2.5 14
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 +3 -1.3 11
6 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 +0 -3.2 11
7 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 +2 +2.7 10
8 Estrela 7 2 4 1 +0 -0.2 10
9 Gil Vicente 6 2 2 2 +0 +2.5 8
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 -2 -3.1 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 -4 -1.1 8
12 Moreirense 7 2 2 3 -6 -4.7 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 +2 -0.9 7
14 Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 -3 +4.1 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 -8 -3.3 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 -10 -5.1 4
17 Estoril 6 0 2 4 -6 -4.0 2
18 Casa Pia 6 0 1 5 -14 -3.9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -26 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 2–1 15. Dec -25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–0 3. May -25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–1 22. Dec -24 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 0–2 14. May -23 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 5–3

Match report

Santa Clara Sp Braga
Tiago Ribeiro 🟨
29′
36′
🟨 Adrian Bajrami
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 Gabriel Silva
↦ Gabriel Martínez Aguilera
55′
🔁 Denis Huseinbasic
↦ Jovan Milosevic
56′
🟨 João Moutinho
Dani Borges 🔁
↦ Tiago Ribeiro
63′
65′
🔁 Sergio Barcia
↦ Adrian Barisic
65′
🔁 Demir Ege Tıknaz
↦ João Moutinho
Lucas Soares 🟨
69′
Welinton Torrão 🔁
↦ Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos
71′
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
71′
Lucas França 🟨
73′
Dani Borges 🟨
77′
81′
🟨 Jean-Baptiste Gorby
85′
🔁 Tommy Marqués
↦ Ricardo Horta
Joao Vasconcelos 🔁
↦ Vinicius lopes
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-3-3
1 Lucas França G
42 Lucas Soares D
4 Pedro Pacheco D
21 Emanuel Fernandes D
5 Guilherme Romão D
8 José Luís Rocha Tavares M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
20 Tiago Ribeiro M
70 Vinícius Lopes F
9 Gonçalo Paciência F
10 Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos F
Bench (12)
73 Léo Jacó
18 A. Duarte
12 Neneca
22 Vitinho
11 Welinton Torrão
25 F. Medeiros
80 Tiago Ribeiro Duarte
19 Ythallo
7 Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
17 João Vasconcelos
41 Daniel Borges
3 Henrique Silva

Coach: Petit

Sp Braga

3-4-3
31 Bernardo Fontes G
37 A. Barišić D
6 Vitor Carvalho D
44 A. Bajrami D
2 Víctor Gómez M
8 João Moutinho M
29 J. Gorby M
77 Gabri Martínez M
10 Pau Victor F
17 J. Milošević F
21 Ricardo Horta F
Bench (12)
78 João Carvalho
23 D. Huseinbašić
16 Tomás Marqués
7 Diogo Travassos
9 Fran Navarro
19 J. Wind
50 Diego Rodrigues
11 Gabriel Silva
34 E. Tıknaz
20 M. Dorgeles
22 Sergio Barcia
26 B. Arrey-Mbi

Coach: Carlos Vicens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,66
🔒
U ✓
3,11
🔒
B
2,05
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,47
🔒
U1,5 ✓
2,50
🔒
O2,5
2,42
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,51
🔒
O3,5
4,80
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,17
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
2,06
🔒
BLS nei ✓
1,67
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.