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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

Sturm Graz

T S U T S

7–0

Full-time

A. Klagenfurt

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 51%

69%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

69%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 9

12 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 1. · A. Klagenfurt 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	SK Rapid	13	7	5	1	+6	26
3	Austria Vienna	13	7	3	3	+6	24
4	Salzburg	11	5	3	3	+1	18
5	Wolfsberger AC	13	5	2	6	+4	17
6	LASK	13	5	2	6	+0	17
7	BW Linz	13	5	2	6	-2	17
8	Hartberg	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	A. Klagenfurt	12	4	3	5	-7	15
10	Tirol	13	3	3	7	-7	12
11	Altach	13	2	3	8	-6	9
12	Grazer AK	13	1	6	6	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SK Rapid	7	6	1	0	+8	19
2	Sturm Graz	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Austria Vienna	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	BW Linz	6	4	0	2	+5	12
5	Hartberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+7	10
7	Wolfsberger AC	7	2	2	3	+1	8
8	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	LASK	7	2	1	4	-1	7
10	Grazer AK	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Tirol	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Altach	7	1	2	4	-2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	LASK	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	0	3	+3	9
4	Austria Vienna	7	2	2	3	-2	8
5	Salzburg	7	2	2	3	-6	8
6	SK Rapid	6	1	4	1	-2	7
7	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	1	3	-7	7
8	Tirol	7	2	0	5	-6	6
9	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	BW Linz	7	1	2	4	-7	5
11	Altach	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Grazer AK	7	0	3	4	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.