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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Girona
S S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Arsenal
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
14%
71%
Points per game
0,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 14%
14%
14%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
1,6
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,77 xG 2,16
39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 13
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Girona Arsenal
1–0 A. Danjuma ⚽
Juanpe
28′
38′
⚽ Jorginho 1–1
42′
⚽ E. Nwaneri 1–2
L. Trossard
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 J. Timber
↦ T. Partey
Antal Yaakobishvili 🟨
51′
Y. Herrera 🔁
↦ Oriol Romeu
57′
J. Solís 🔁
↦ Y. Asprilla
57′
C. Stuani 🔁
↦ Abel Ruiz
57′
D. van de Beek 🔁
↦ Iván Martín
68′
Portu 🔁
↦ V. Tsyhankov
68′
70′
🟨 Raheem Sterling
70′
🔁 M. Lewis-Skelly
↦ R. Calafiori
70′
🔁 K. Havertz
↦ L. Trossard
Cristhian Stuani ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
78′
Portu 🟨
79′
82′
🔁 D. Rice
↦ Jorginho
Arnau Martínez 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 Gabriel Martinelli
↦ E. Nwaneri
Cristhian Stuani 🟨
93′
93′
❌ Raheem Sterling
penalty missed
93′
🟨 Declan Rice
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Girona

4-2-3-1
25 Pau López G
4 Arnau Martínez D
35 A. Yaakobishvili D
15 Juanpe D
16 Alejandro Francés D
14 Oriol Romeu M
23 Iván Martín M
8 V. Tsyhankov M
10 Y. Asprilla M
11 A. Danjuma M
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (12)
21 Y. Herrera
22 J. Solís
7 C. Stuani
6 D. van de Beek
24 Portu
36 Ricard Artero
40 J. Danso
26 Oriol Comas
13 P. Gazzaniga
28 Silvi
19 B. Miovski
29 Kim Min-Su

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Arsenal

4-3-3
32 Neto G
5 T. Partey D
15 J. Kiwior D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
33 R. Calafiori D
8 M. Ødegaard M
20 Jorginho M
23 Mikel Merino M
53 E. Nwaneri F
19 L. Trossard F
30 R. Sterling F
Bench (12)
12 J. Timber
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
29 K. Havertz
41 D. Rice
11 Gabriel Martinelli
92 J. Porter
36 T. Setford
56 S. Oulad M'Hand
2 W. Saliba
17 O. Zinchenko
3 K. Tierney
37 N. Butler-Oyedeji

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.